Elections are close fought in TCI, with PDM winning last time around with a swing of around 4%. This was enough for the former Premier, the PNP’s Rufus Ewing, to lose his seat. The large number of foreign nationals on the island means that only around 25% of the population are eligible to vote. However, the number of registered electors has increased by over 10% in the last 4 years, to 8,623, and this could impact on the result this time around. Turnout is traditionally high, with 80% of registered electors voting in 2016.
The House of Assembly has 15 elected members. Ten are elected in single-seat electoral districts, with another five elected from an all-island district. Both routes to the assembly use the first past the post system. PDP won 51% of the vote in 2016, which was enough to give them six of the ten constituency seats, and four of the five-at-large seats.
The election will be on the 19th February 2021.